Loading... Please wait...

John Dewan's Stat of the Week

Stat of the Week: How Good is Kyler Murray?

Posted by

Last week’s Stat of the Week covered the SIS rankings and stats for the top players available in this year’s NFL Draft. There’s another player who generated headlines this week who was not at the top of those rankings. Oklahoma quarterback Kyler Murray announced he would pursue a career in the NFL rather than in professional baseball.

Murray is the No. 2 ranked quarterback in The SIS Football Rookie Handbook behind Ohio State’s Dwayne Haskins. But Murray is the most impressive quarterback from a statistical perspective.

There are concerns that Murray is too small to succeed in the NFL (he’s 5'9½"). But Murray leads this year’s top quarterback prospects in all of the leaderboards listed in our book.

Kyler Murray Leads QB Prospects In …

Category Value
Pass Yards Per Attempt 11.6
On-Target Percentage 79.2
Independent QB Rating (IQR) 143.2
Expected Points Added Per Dropback 0.47
Rushing Expected Points Added 61.4
Total Expected Points Added 236.9

* Independent QB Rating (IQR) builds on the traditional Passer Rating formula by considering the value of a quarterback independent of results outside of his control such as dropped passes, dropped interceptions, throwaways, etc.

** Expected Points Added (EPA) is the change in Expected Points for the offense on a play.

In several of these categories, Murray has a sizable advantage. He leads West Virginia’s Will Grier by nearly two yards per attempt, 16 points in IQR and nearly 97 Total Expected Points Added.

Murray also mostly passes the eye test. In The SIS Football Rookie Handbook, Murray is described as "a rare playmaker at the quarterback position with the requisite mental capacity to maximize his arm talent and mobility but may need to rework his release as a pro to mitigate size concerns."

Stat of the Week: NFL Draft Top Prospects

With the football season over, it's time to shift attention to the future and the upcoming NFL Draft. In recent years SIS has tracked NFL and FBS games in a [...]

Read More »

Stat of the Week: ​Previewing the Super Bowl Offenses

There are expectations that Super Bowl LIII between the Patriots and Rams will be a high-scoring contest. The Rams ranked second in the NFL in points scored during the regular season. The Patriots ranked fourth. With that in mind, here’s a look at keys to the offenses in this game for each team.Patriots offensive key: [...]

Read More »

Congratulations to Bill James and Rob Neyer!

My good friends, Bill James and Rob Neyer, both received great recognition for their work recently.I have known Bill for the last 35 years. When I first read his work in the Baseball Abstract series way back then, it hit me. Bill was doing the exact kind of work with baseball numbers that I was [...]

Read More »

Stat of the Week: Active Players on a Hall of Fame Path

With this year’s Hall of Fame class announced, here’s a look at which active players have cleared the bar of Bill James’ Hall of Fame Value Standard. As a reminder, a player’s Hall of Fame Value (HOF-V) is his Win Shares plus four times his Baseball-Reference Wins Above Replacement (WAR). The standard for Hall of Fame [...]

Read More »

Stat of the Week: The Hall of Fame Value Standard Part II

Last week's Stat of the Week looked at Bill James’ newest creation, the Hall of Fame Value Standard (HOF-V), and how it analyzes the worthiness of some of the debatable position player candidates on this year’s Hall of Fame ballot. To supplement that, here’s a look at the pitcher candidates of a similar debatable status. As [...]

Read More »

Cody Parkey and the Chicago Bears' Kicking Woes

During the 2015 NFL season, Bears kicker Robbie Gould missed six field goals, which was the most since his rookie season. Right before the 2016 season, the Bears decided to move on from [...]

Read More »

Stat of the Week: The Hall of Fame Value Standard

In the 2019 Bill James Baseball Handbook, Bill introduced a new stat meant to evaluate worthiness for induction to Cooperstown. He’s called it The Hall of Fame Value Standard. The Hall of Fame Value Standard (HOF-V) combines two statistics that assess player value -- Win Shares and Baseball-Reference.com Wins Above Replacement (the latter is multiplied by [...]

Read More »

Ban The Shift?

By JOHN DEWANOver the years in Stat of the Week we’ve analyzed the significant increase in shifting in baseball that has occurred since 2012. We have been proponents of this defensive strategy as we have demonstrated in many different ways that, when employed against the right batters in the right situations, shifting is very effective. [...]

Read More »

Stat of the Week: 2018 Year-End Awards Part II

Last week, we gave out some year-end MLB Awards to hitters, infielders, and outfielders. This week, we’re specifically rewarding the work of pitchers and catchers. Here are some honors that celebrate their outstanding performance.The Contact MinimizerThe Contact Minimizer goes to the pitcher who limited hard contact best in 2018. The winner of that honor is [...]

Read More »

Sign up to our newsletter

Recent Updates