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John Dewan's Stat of the Week

The Outlook for 2017's Underachievers and Overachievers

By Mark Simon With the MLB season beginning, there are some things we can count on. Some players will struggle inexplicably. Some will have unexpected remarkable success. But how do we know whether a struggle or success is legitimate? There are statistical measures that help. Our defense-independent batting statistics (DIBS) are able to give expected results on every ball [...]

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The Outfield Shift Has Arrived

Over the weekend there was a bit of hubbub about the Phillies’ use of seemingly conflicting shifts in the infield and outfield in a Grapefruit League game against Twins first baseman Joe Mauer. Their infielders were playing Mauer in what BIS calls a Full Ted Williams Shift (three men on the pull side of [...]

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Ranking the Top Starting Rotations

Although this has been a slow MLB offseason by most standards, some of the moves have resulted in notable starting pitchers such as Yu Darvish, Jake Arrieta and Gerrit Cole moving to new teams. With Major League Baseball’s Opening Day just a few weeks away, we decided to rank baseball’s top starting rotations based on [...]

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Stat of the Week: Praising Arizona

By Mark Simon After a 24-win improvement in 2017, the Arizona Diamondbacks have had a busy offseason in trying to put together a roster that could compete with the Dodgers for the division and the Rockies and Giants for the Wild Card. The Diamondbacks are trying for consecutive winning seasons for the first time since 2007-2008. Most notably, the [...]

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Norway Skiing Away with Medals Race

We worked with the Wall Street Journal to develop Olympic medal projections and shared them in the Journal here and in the Stat of the Week a couple of weeks ago here. With a week left of the 2018 Winter Olympics in PyeongChang, the model is working pretty well. Except for the United States. There [...]

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What does Yu Darvish Bring To The Cubs?

By Mark Simon Saturday, the Cubs landed the biggest pitching prize of the free-agent market when they agreed to a six-year, $126 million deal with Yu Darvish. The Cubs believe they added both quality and depth and a replacement for one of their top pitchers, Jake Arrieta. Darvish will slot in alongside Kyle Hendricks, Jon Lester, José Quintana and another new acquisition, [...]

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2018 Winter Olympics Projections

The 2018 Winter Olympics kick off this week in Pyeongchang, South Korea, with comprehensive coverage scheduled to begin tomorrow. The ultimate prize for the competitors is an Olympic medal, with 306 awarded in 102 events. We ran 1,000 simulations for these Olympics using probabilities provided by the Wall Street Journal to try to determine which countries [...]

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Patriots and Eagles: Two Key Insights Into Their High Scoring Offenses

The Patriots scored 458 points this past season while the Eagles were one point behind at 457, making them the second and third most prolific offenses in the NFL behind the LA Rams (478 points). Sports Info Solutions has been tracking in-depth situational information that provides some key insights into why they’ve been so effective.Short Answer: Running Backs! First the Eagles. The [...]

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What's the Deal with Omar?

Last week, we looked at how Hall of Fame candidates Andruw Jones and Scott Rolen compared to other players at their positions in terms of Bill James’ Win Shares system. Today, we are going to look at how fellow first-time Hall of Fame candidate Omar Vizquel stacks up against other shortstops. The following [...]

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Hall of Fame Twitter Chatter

We are very close to finding out who will be inducted into the Baseball Hall of Fame in 2018. Thanks to some writers releasing their ballots publicly, we know just about half of the results, and there are a number of candidates who we know for sure won't make it this season. We [...]

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