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Who are the 2007 defensive All-Stars (thus far?)

Posted by

July 18, 2007

In The Fielding Bible I introduced a new way to quantify defensive contributions called the Plus/Minus System. The book covered every 2005 defensive player other than pitchers and catchers using Plus/Minus and a variety of other defensive metrics.

The Bill James Handbook 2007 published the Plus/Minus leaderboards for the 2006 season (adding pitchers for the first time) and the 2008 version will publish the Plus/Minus leaderboards for the 2007 season. But how about a preview now?

The recent All-Star Game tried to bring together 2007’s best players. Let's take a look at the best players from a defensive standpoint thus far this year. Here are the 2007 Plus/Minus defensive leaderboards (through games of Monday, July 16).


First Basemen

Name Team PM
Albert Pujols StL +25
Casey Kotchman LAA +13
Ryan Klesko SF +10
Kevin Youkilis Bos +8
Ryan Shealy KC +8

Second Basemen

Name Team PM
Chase Utley Phi +16
Aaron Hill Tor +13
Mark Ellis Oak +12
Howie Kendrick LAA +10
Brandon Phillips Cin +8
Kaz Matsui Col +8

Third Basemen

Name Team PM
Pedro Feliz SF +21
David Wright NYM +15
Scott Rolen StL +13
Aramis Ramirez ChC +13
Adrian Beltre Sea +12

Shortstops

Name Team PM
Troy Tulowitzki Col +22
Adam Everett Hou +17
Jack Wilson Pit +12
Omar Vizquel SF +12
Jason Bartlett Min +12

Left Fielders

Name Team PM
Shannon Stewart Oak +11
Matt Holliday Col +10
Geoff Jenkins Mil +9
Adam Lind Tor +8
Emil Brown KC +8

Center Fielders

Name Team PM
Andruw Jones AtL +22
Carlos Beltran NYM +16
Curtis Granderson Det +14
Coco Crisp Bos +13
Alfredo Amezaga Fla +8
Ryan Church Was +8

Right Fielders

Name Team PM
Andre Ethier LAD +16
Carlos Quentin Ari +10
Austin Kearns Was +9
Alex Rios Tor +8
Magglio Ordonez Det +7
Corey Hart Mil +7

Pitchers

Name Team PM
Greg Maddux SD +5
Jon Garland ChW +5
Kameron Loe Tex +5
Five Tied With +4

The worst defensive player thus far this year: Florida Marlins shortstop Hanley Ramirez at -23. Derek Jeter is a close second at -21.

By the way, I've been asked the same question many times: When will the next edition of The Fielding Bible come out? Answer: Not this year, but likely next year. The reason: We're working on a new book that will take time away from doing a Fielding Bible this year. The new book is called The Bill James Gold Mine. Keep an eye out for it next spring.

Short description of the Plus/Minus System:

The Fielding Bible contains a detailed explanation of the Plus/Minus System, but here is a summary.

The plus/minus figure of +25 for Albert Pujols means that he made 25 more plays than could be expected from an average first baseman. This +25 is determined by looking at each play hit in his direction and comparing what Pujols does with that play compared to all other first basemen.

Every time a fielder catches a ball and gets the out, he receives a fraction between 1 and 0. If it was a difficult play, he gets a larger fraction. An easy play, a smaller fraction. That fraction is determined by what percentage of times that same play is made by all players at that position, in the same location of the field, and on a ball hit just as hard. The higher the percentage (easier play), the lower the fractional award for the defensive play. The lower the percentage (harder play), the higher the factional award.

Every time a fielder fails to make the play, he gets a negative version of that same fraction.

We add up all these fractions and round the number to an integer to create their Plus/Minus at that position (some guys play multiple positions in one season). A final Plus/Minus number around zero indicates an average performance.


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